Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.005318 0.006058 0.006909 0.007970 0.009271 0.010835 0.012888
2025-11-30 0.004244 0.005142 0.006271 0.007829 0.009983 0.012951 0.017540
2025-12-07 0.003586 0.004514 0.005748 0.007570 0.010307 0.014482 0.021842
2025-12-14 0.003179 0.004120 0.005429 0.007469 0.010755 0.016237 0.027174
2025-12-21 0.002965 0.003949 0.005375 0.007720 0.011769 0.019193 0.036223
2025-12-28 0.002823 0.003855 0.005410 0.008097 0.013072 0.023129 0.050107
2026-01-04 0.002648 0.003686 0.005299 0.008203 0.013898 0.026433 0.065395
2026-01-11 0.002465 0.003484 0.005107 0.008125 0.014338 0.029060 0.081565
2026-01-18 0.002325 0.003335 0.004981 0.008144 0.014977 0.032475 0.105353
2026-01-25 0.002167 0.003143 0.004760 0.007946 0.015087 0.034538 0.127058
2026-02-01 0.002002 0.002924 0.004473 0.007574 0.014714 0.035051 0.142249
2026-02-08 0.001859 0.002734 0.004218 0.007238 0.014359 0.035515 0.158919
2026-02-15 0.001780 0.002653 0.004166 0.007342 0.015217 0.040814 0.229853
2026-02-22 0.001678 0.002525 0.004016 0.007222 0.015483 0.044338 0.307484
2026-03-01 0.001572 0.002383 0.003828 0.006991 0.015386 0.046444 0.387638
2026-03-08 0.001493 0.002283 0.003711 0.006900 0.015674 0.050516 0.545117
2026-03-15 0.001458 0.002256 0.003729 0.007124 0.016984 0.060807 1.074369
2026-03-22 0.001435 0.002251 0.003790 0.007461 0.018797 0.076516 3.041694
2026-03-29 0.001390 0.002201 0.003755 0.007556 0.019838 0.089467 9.240935
2026-04-05 0.001334 0.002126 0.003662 0.007487 0.020273 0.099099 33.154864
2026-04-12 0.001289 0.002070 0.003604 0.007503 0.021056 0.113469 1094.205828
2026-04-19 0.001232 0.001987 0.003481 0.007326 0.021014 0.120532 NaN
2026-04-26 0.001166 0.001883 0.003308 0.006994 0.020242 0.119199 NaN